Game: Mjällby v. Sirius
Pick: Over 2.5 Goals Odds: 1.95
This bet is based a lot on the odds being way to high. It should be priced at around 1.60-1.65 in my opinion. As of writing this, the odds is 1.95 on Betfair and Bet365. The play here will be over 2.5 goals, BTTS also works just fine but since it is only 1.70 atm, we are going for the bigger price.
Mjällby and Sirius have conceded 19 and 20 goals each in only 12 games, that puts both of these teams in the bottom 3 for goals conceded. Sirius is one of the most attack minded teams in this years season of Allsvenskan, after only 12 games we have seen them play 3-3, 2-5, 4-2 and so on.
Mjällby is a newcomer for this season, with very high capabilities going forward. They have managed to score several goals on top teams such as Häcken & Hammarby. Mjällby should at least bag one goal in this meeting. The home team also has a 4 game over 2.5 streak at home, add in Sirius fantastic offensive capabilities and we are looking at some goals here tonight.
Best of luck,
Raz
