Game: Ferencvarosi TC v. Djurgården IF (Champions League Qualification).
Pick: Djurgården To Qualify
So it is finally time to qualify for next years Champions League and I think I have found a really good price here. First off, I do not know how good the home team is this season, I have not watched them play more than once. This bet is based on the fact that they are not fully match fit and I think Djurgården is a stronger team in a slightly better league. Ferencvarosi have only played one league game this year, so there is no way that they are fully fit. Usually it takes several games for the legs to work normally and Djurgården is in great form with 5 wins in the last 6 and they are 15 games deep into the season.
Note that this qualification is one leg only, so the Hungarians have an advantage due to playing home, but I think they are pretty even squad wise with Djurgården. The swedes rested a few players last game and they are going into this game with their best possible 11 players. Djurgården is not a team that will beat you with 5-0, but they are so strong and so hard to beat. I think this game will be tight and potentially go to overtime. If this game goes long, the more fit players from Sweden will have a massive advantage. We get 2.25 on them to qualify here, I think this tie is way more even than that.